Monday, 23 June 2014

2014 NHL Mock Draft: Picks 11 - 20



By Steven Ives

11) Nashville Predators
The Team: Since their incarnation in 1998, the Predators have been coached by Barry Trotz and built their team on smothering defensive play. After 16 years, Nashville has finally decided to open things up a bit. After firing Trotz, they hired the more offensively-minded Peter Laviolette and seem intent on acquiring more skilled players. This makes the 2014 draft an interesting one to watch for the Preds.

The Pick: LW/RW Kevin Fiala, HV71, SWE Nashville would love to draft a first-line center to build around, but any team would be thrilled to land the Swiss dynamo Fiala. The explosive winger with sick hands rocketed up the draft charts all season long by dominating virtually every international tournament he played in. Fiala has been compared by major scouting sources to Phil Kessel and Alex Semin, two players who topped the 40-goal plateau at the NHL level, and it is not a stretch to conceive of the quick and ultra-skilled Fiala doing the same. The young winger needs only to work on controlling his turnovers and overall defensive play. Still, if the Predators are truly committed to upping the offensive ante, Fiala would be an outstanding bet for them.

12) Phoenix Coyotes
The Team: When researching NHL teams’ draft tendencies, it is impossible not to gvet a kick out of the Coyotes’ penchant for picking sons of former NHL stars. Two years ago they selected Ulf Samuelsson’s son Henrik in the first round, last year they spent their top pick on Tie Domi’s son Max. Unfortunately for them, Michael Nylander’s son is expected to be long gone when they pick 12th and Claude Lemieux and Sami Kapanen’s kids might be a bit of a reach there.

The Pick: LW Brendan Perlini, Niagara, OHL Perlini’s size (6’3”, 210) and speed combination are impossible to ignore. He uses his huge body and athleticism to dominate the dirty areas, in the corners and in the crease. He has the skill-set and hands to develop into a first-line power forward at the NHL level and draws comparisons to Jeff Carter. The only factors potentially driving the extremely projectable Perlini out of the top ten are a bit of a late season decline in play combined with the emergence of Ehlers and Fleury. Still, it would not be shocking to see Perlini go as early as the sixth pick, and if he falls to the legacy-minded Coyotes, they can at least console themselves that Brendan’s father was drafted by the Maple Leafs in 1980 and played eight games at the NHL level.

13) Washington Capitals
The Team: It is always most difficult to predict what a team will do at the draft after they change over the front office. Long-time GM George McPhee and head coach Adam Oates were dumped during the off-season. Brian MacLellan takes over the general managing duties and a team with unbelievable talent on the scoring lines (Ovechkin, Backstrom, Kuznetsov) but holes virtually everywhere else. The goaltending is weak all throughout the organization and the blueline desperately needs a boost beyond the top pairing of John Carlson and Kyle Alzner.

The Pick: D Travis Sanheim, Calgary WHL Sanheim is the perfect example of why this draft is difficult to predict. The highly-respected ISS scouting bureau has him ranked 53rd in the 2014 draft class. The Hockey News has him listed at 21st. TSN.com has him 8th. That is quite an uncommon range. As for us, we don’t see what’s not to like about this kid – he’s big, he can skate, he has terrific puck skills. Sanheim came on strong all season long, seemingly improving his overall game with each shift he was on the ice. The young blueliner has been compared to a wide range of players from Jay Bouwmeester to Johnny Boychuk and has been rumored to have been scouted heavily by the Caps. Look for new GM MacLellan to re-build his team from the backline out, and Sanheim should be the best available d-man here.

14) Dallas Stars
The Team: The Stars scored a major coup last off-season when they pick-pocketed the Bruins for young star center Tyler Seguin. Along with Jamie Benn, these two form the nucleus of one of the most dangerous offensive lines in the league, a combo Dallas hopes could be their version of Getzlaf-Perry for seasons to come. What the Stars seek in the 2014 draft is more forward depth around those two, along with some defensemen with top-pairing upside.

The Pick: C Jared McCann, Sault Ste. Marie OHL The franchise first-line center may be the most valuable commodity in today’s NHL, but do not discount the value of a big-bodied, two-way second-line pivot. McCann is that kid who it is impossible to read a scouting report on without coming across the words “smart” and “hard-working”. He does it all -- blocking shots, winning draws, battling for loose pucks. Though he will never challenge for an NHL scoring title, he certainly has the upside to contribute 50-60 points at the NHL level. Compared flatteringly to Patrice Bergeron, McCann is the type of player you win with, and the perfect kid for the Stars to build their second line around.

15) Detroit Red Wings
The Team: Superlative statements which might sound subjective in most cases come off as simply self-evident when talking about the Wings. GM Ken Holland is a genius, Detroit’s hockey franchise is one of the most successful in the entire sporting world. A consecutive post-season streak of an astounding 23 seasons and an NHL-best four Stanley Cup championships in the past two decades support these theories quite well. As always, the Holland’s Red Wings will draft the best available player regardless of need with every draft pick, as always some of these picks will surprise the pundits, as always several of these picks will turn out to be absolutely terrific hockey players in Detroit.

The Pick: C/LW Dylan Larkin, US-NTDP USHL My favorite description of one of my favorite players in this draft comes from courtesy of the scouts at Future Considerations: “he is a high-compete, high-intelligence, three-zone center”. That might say it all. Larkin far from the most talented player in this draft, but he is one of the best skaters and he could be the smartest player. You can watch this kid game after game without seeing him make a single mistake or slack off the intensity for even a fraction of a shift. With most players there is a ceiling and a floor to their talent levels – with Larkin the upside might be of a very good second-line center, but because of his off-the-charts character his floor is of a very good third-line center. The can’t-miss NHL-er hails from the Detroit area and grew up rooting for the Red Wings, a franchise which built its success on intelligent players like Larkin.

16) Columbus Blue Jackets
The Team: The Jackets’ brain trust came from the St. Louis Blues organization, where they built a great team on physical, two-way players with size. In Columbus, they reached this year’s post-season using a similar blueprint. A long-time NHL doormat, the Blue Jackets now pride themselves on being a huge and physical team which is extremely difficult to play against. 

The Pick: RW Alex Tuch, US-NTDP USHL
This kid’s last name actually rhymes with “truck”, which is a fairly apt description of what he looks and plays like. At 6’4” and 220 and with terrific athleticism, he is virtually impossible to beat in the corners or to move from the front of the net. He is simply a force down low, but it is the completeness of his game which makes him a surefire first-rounder. Compared to Blake Wheeler, this physical force is precisely the type of player Columbus hopes to build their team around.

17) Philadelphia Flyers
The Team: Since Chris Pronger’s career was tragically cut short by post-concussion syndrome, the Flyers have desperately sought a true #1 defenseman to replace him. In the 2013 draft they desperately wanted Rasmus Ristolainen, whom was taken just ahead of them by Buffalo. After this, they seemed to panic a bit by reaching for large-bodied project Samuel Morin when they could have had the most Pronger-like prospect in years in Nikita Zadorov. New GM Ron Hextall needs to resist the temptation to reach for another defenseman in a thin draft for blueliners and instead take the best available player.

The Pick: RW/LW Kasperi Kapanen, Kalpa, FIN Kapanen is another player who divides scouts. Some have him in their top ten due to his outstanding skating and playmaking skills combined with an NHL-ready one-timer. Others have him dropping near the second round due to some inconsistency in his game and the fact that he can become visibly frustrated when opponents amp up the physical game on him. The Flyers would certainly love to take a chance on his upside of NHL scoring star, and Kasperi’s father Sami starred in Philadelphia for several seasons. Kasperi would make perfect sense here, where he could project to a top-line role alongside Claude Giroux and Jakub Voracek.

18) Minnesota Wild
The Team: Over the past two seasons, the Wild have transformed themselves from perennially mediocre into what looks like an annual Western Conference contender. The first step towards this achievement was certainly the twin free-agent signings of superstars Ryan Suter and Zach Parise, but last year they supplemented the pair with some terrific young talents like Mikael Granlund, Charlie Coyle and Erik Haula. This team is solid all across the organization at every position, except in goal where Josh Harding’s struggles with Multiple Sclerosis has left them with several questions between the pipes.

The Pick: G Thatcher Demko, Boston College NCAA There are generally two schools of thought in the NHL right now regarding drafting goalies in the first round: don’t do it and you better not blow it if you do. This year’s Stanley Cup battle featured two netminders often considered the best in the world: Henrik Lundqvist, with his Olympic gold medal and Vezina Trophy, was a 7th round pick by the Rangers in 2000, while Jonathan Quick, with his pair of Stanley Cups, was a 3rd round pick by the Kings back in 2005. With projecting the future success of goaltenders so inexact, many teams would rather roll the dice on one later in the draft. It takes a special type of goaltending prospect to buck this trend, but Demko is precisely that special type of prospect. Demko has a rare combination of size (6’4”, 190), athleticism, maturity and smarts which has led to him not only winning the starting job at Boston College as a freshman (a rare feat), but also dominating older NCAA competition for long stretches. It would not be surprising at all to look back on this draft in a decade and realize the best player in the class was Demko. The question is not whether a team should risk a first-rounder with this kid, it is whether a team looking for a future goaltender can afford to pass on him. If Minnesota does not make this pick, it is a strong bet that a team like Buffalo or Washington starts working the phones trying to move up into the late first-round for a crack at future franchise goalie Thatcher Demko.

19) Tampa Bay Lightning
The Team: Under the leadership of GM Steve Yzerman, the Lightning have a very bright future. Already armed with a franchise player in Steve Stamkos, last year Tampa enjoyed major breakthroughs from several players. Ben Bishop took the step from prospect goalie to Vezina Trophy candidate. Viktor Hedman finally emerged as an elite, top-pairing NHL defenseman. Ondrej Palat and Tyler Johnson were only outshined among rookie forwards by Nathan McKinnon. There is more talent coming through the pipeline, where Andrey Vasilevskiy is the top young goalie in Europe and Jonathan Drouin is the top scoring prospect not currently in the NHL. If Tampa needs anything, it is to restock more depth on the blueline, but with two first-round picks in the 2014, that should be addressed quickly.

The Pick: C/LW Robby Fabbri, Guelph OHL Expect the Lightning to take the best available player with their first pick and then take a defenseman with the second. Fabbri is another small, skilled player with inconsistent rankings among the scouting bureaus – some have him in the top ten due to his blinding speed, tenacity, and electrifying scoring skills. Others have him closer to the second round, due to his rail-thin 160-pounds on a 5’10” frame which lead many to believe his future is not at center, but on the wing. We say here that Fabbri’s fearlessness and pure goal-scoring ability evoke shades of Zach Parise, and he may not even make it this deep into the draft.

20) San Jose Sharks
The Team: The Sharks’ annual ritual of outstanding regular seasons and ensuing playoff disappointments hit a crescendo this spring, after San Jose blew a 3-0 lead over the Kings. GM Doug Wilson promised major changes in the off-season and even dropped the dreaded R-word: rebuilding. Though it would be foolish for such a quality team to go through an absolute overhaul, the Sharks do need to make a major move. Expect cornerstones Joe Thornton and Antti Niemi to stay, along with their ultra-talented young nucleus of Joe Pavelski, Logan Couture, Thomas Hertl and Marc-Andre Vlasic. The player we expect to see shipped elsewhere is Patrick Marleau, rumored to have been in talks with the Islanders for the 5th overall pick or with the Leafs for Dion Phaneuf. 

The Pick: RW Josh Ho-Sang, Windsor, OHL The buttoned-down, business-like Sharks have fallen in the playoffs to more intense teams for several seasons in a row. There are few more intense than Ho-Sang, who we like to call Josh Ho-Highlight. This kid ricochets all over the offensive zone like a rabid pinball, and there is no one in this draft with a greater ability to turn a routine zone entry into a highlight-reel goal. The fact that Ho-Sang is always thinking goal leads to some glitzy plays, but also some head-scratching turnovers which have falsely garnered him the reputation among some pundits as a selfish player. Ho-Sang’s flash and dash and off-the-charts offensive skill remind us of a young Pavel Bure, and he is the kind of player San Jose could use to amp the electricity in their arena.

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